Socio-Economic and Health Management of Pandemics Based on Forgotten Effects Theory

Intense and frequent changes increase uncertainty and complexity in decision-making. The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbates this situation. Therefore, the decision-maker seeks to reduce risks and meet these challenges. The manuscript aims to identify cause-effect relationships between variables affecting countries and changes caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and propose an algorithm to facilitate decision-making by identifying forgotten effects. The authors use thematic analysis to synthesize the semi-systematic literature review findings. The applied research uses a quantitative approach through modeling and simulation. The results highlight that the pandemic effects are associated with causes such as health care, political and economic stability, social justice, and the level of corruption. Decision-makers must prioritize the management of these variables guided by science. The main contribution is to show an algorithm that identifies forgotten effects in pandemics' socio-economic and health management, preventing future crises. In addition, the study advances the frontier of knowledge by addressing identified gaps and contributes to academia and policy makers. The most critical limitation is the number of variables included in this research. Future investigations could include analyses on the impact of climate change and sustainable development of nations and country-specific studies on the forgotten effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. © 2022 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.

Adaptation of Grocery Stores to the Post-Covid-19 Environment. The Case of Barcelona

In order to help the decision-making to the owners of grocery stores of less than 150 m2 in Barcelona, this work presents a decision support system based in the Forgotten Effects Theory of 701 stores at the City. COVID-19 is changing consumption patterns and Grocery stores must adapt to the new reality by improving customer service, product exposure, cordiality… in order not to see their market share reduced due to the growth of online sales of food products, they also have large distributors as competitors who offer a greater variety of products to their customers since they have a much larger sales area. The focus in on the importance given in each District to the different parameters that we have determined. The experiment carried out allows us to determine the second-generation effects, which are more indirect. The results highlight the differences between the different Districts in the assessment of the different determinants of our study. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.